Facebook Ad Boycott Creates Buying Opportunity: Analyst

Facebook’s stock is taking a hit as the list of brands that are bailing on Facebook continues to grow in response to the social media company’s refusal to fact-check President Trump’s tweets. Facebook’s market value cratered nearly $60 billion on Friday as investors digested the severity of the ad revenue loss Facebook could suffer from.

Minimal impact: The fallout, however, might not be as drastic as the stock market is forecasting and creates a buying opportunity, according to Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler. Kessler says the financial impact on Facebook and other social platforms “remains fairly minimal.” Here’s a look at key points emphasized by the analyst.

  1. Diverse advertiser base: The top 100 highest ad spenders on Facebook accounted for ~6% of its revenues, according to Pathmatics. Facebook’s top 100 advertisers represented less than 20% of revenues in 1Q19. 

  2. Temporary boycott: Many brands pulling ad dollars from Facebook have focused on July spend, which Kessler notes is a seasonally slow quarter.

  3. Don’t chase ‘em, replace ‘em: “Social platforms are typically able to replace lost advertisers with other advertisers given the auction dynamics of the platforms.”

Facebook’s response: Raymond James is optimistic that FB’s recently announced changes will help assuage advertiser concerns. Facebook said Friday it will begin labelling posts that break its rules but are considered "newsworthy." 

Previous
Previous

3 Potential Winners, Other Than Tesla, from California’s New Zero-Emission Truck Rule

Next
Next

Nike’s Reliance on Wholesale a Top Risk Despite Digital Growth